Officials at the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services
continue to monitor closely the development of Tropical
Disturbance AL92, which is approaching the area.
The MET Office says it is following the progress of the disturbance,
which is expected to strengthen into a tropical cyclone (tropical
depression or tropical storm) within the next 48 hours.
Forecasters say it may track near to, or through, the Leeward Islands
and the British Virgin Islands within seven days.
But, given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the final
forecast track, intensity, and size of AL92, forecasters acknowledge
that it is impossible to predict, with high confidence, which islands,
if any, will be impacted, if it develops into a storm.
Forecaster Dale Destin says, however, that, “under the reasonable
worst-case scenario, Disturbance AL92 currently poses at least a
Nevertheless, this assessment is subject to change, and it is likely
that a Tropical Cyclone Alert will be required within the next day or
two, he says. But, at present, there are no alerts, watches, or
warnings currently in place.
In the meantime, Destin is advising that households closely monitor
this system and have their hurricane-disaster plans prepared in
order to protect life, property and livelihood.
And as forecasters monitor this system, they are also keeping a close
eye on an additional tropical wave south of the Cabo Verde Islands;
that one reportedly has a low chance of development.